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OPEC Source Tells Reuters Bigger Cuts A Likely Option

An OPEC+ source told Reuters on Monday that the expanded cartel is considering bigger oil output cuts during its November 30 meeting, which was originally delayed for four days over a production quota dispute between OPEC leaders and African nations. 

The unnamed OPEC+ source told Reuters he expected an option for a “collective further reduction” in oil production during the next meeting. The source’s comments echo similar comments made earlier in November suggesting that additional cuts would be considered. Last week, analysts increasingly chimed in to predict either an extension of the existing 1 million-barrel-per-day voluntary cuts or additional cuts to support prices which have fallen from highs of close to $100 per barrel in September to barely holding down $80 currently. 

Late last week, reports emerged that OPEC+ was making progress in talks with its African producers over their oil output quotas next year after Angola and Nigeria requested a higher production ceiling next year. Both countries took a cut in their quotas at the June 2023 meeting of OPEC+ as they had consistently failed to pump to their quotas.

At the same time, for next year, the UAE is set to increase exports of its flagship Murban crude grade after negotiating a higher production quota in the OPEC+ deal. For years, the UAE has argued it should be allowed to pump more than its current OPEC+ quota as it is raising its production capacity. At the June meeting, the UAE won an upward revision of its quota that will take its production up by 200,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 3.219 million bpd for 2024.Earlier on Monday, the OPEC General Secretariat slammed the International Energy Agency (IEA) for its “moment of truth” report on the oil and gas industry released last week. The IEA suggested that the world now has a stark choice between oil and gas and worsening climate change. OPEC criticized the agency for vilifying the industry and ignoring cost and energy security issues.

By Charles Kennedy for Oilprice.com

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  • Mamdouh Salameh on November 27 2023 said:
    Any IEA pontifications on energy matters should be dismissed out of hand as being politically-motivated, biased and flawed.

    Moreover, claims by Reuters can’t be substantiated. Therefore, we can’t be sure of their authenticity.

    However, the fact remains that fundamentals of the global oil market are solid and oil demand is robust. Therefore, OPEC Plus has no need to make new production cuts. But the organisation is expected to extend the existing cuts for a few more months.

    Dr Mamdouh G Salameh
    International Oil Economist
    Global Energy Expert

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