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OPEC Considers Suspending Russia From Oil Deal

Some OPEC members are mulling over the possibility of suspending Russia from the OPEC+ deal that limits the amount of crude oil that each member can produce, the Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday, citing OPEC delegates.

Suspending Russia’s role in the group could allow other members to increase oil production at a quicker pace—although there are only a few OPEC members believed to have the capacity to ramp up production as quickly as the current deal allows.

Removing Russia from the group could be more of a long-term move, or a symbolic one, while much of the world continues to shun Russian energy products with few exceptions—namely China and India, which increased their imports of Russian crude.

This great shunning has caused Russian crude oil production to dip this year—by about 8%, according to WSJ figures—instead of the increase allowed each month so far by the OPEC+ agreement.

The United States and others have repeatedly begged OPEC—more specifically Saudi Arabia and the UAE—to increase its oil production for the purposes of lowering high crude and gasoline prices, but so far, their pleas have been ignored. Earlier this month, however, the White House was said to be feeling Saudi Arabia out over a possible meeting between President Joe Biden and Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman, in part to discuss oil production.

OPEC has long maintained throughout the invasion months that the crude oil market is mostly balanced and that the current forces at work in the market will not be lessened by increased crude production.

According to OPEC delegates who spoke to the Wall Street Journal, however, some OPEC members in the Persian Gulf are starting to plan for increased output sometime over the next few months.

The OPEC+ production quotas will be completely rolled back as of September, although the agreement is set to last until December.

By Julianne Geiger for Oilprice.com

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  • T G on May 31 2022 said:
    What sense does it make to pump more if doing so will push the price lower?
  • Mamdouh Salameh on May 31 2022 said:
    How could suspending Russia from the OPEC+ deal allow other members to increase production at a quicker space?

    Russia isn’t stopping them meeting their production quotas under the production cuts agreement. They are unable to do so because of lack of capacity.

    Moreover, the current agreement was engineered by both Saudi Arabia and Russia was overwhelmingly approved by all OPEC+ members.

    Based on this, I would call this news as a deliberate disinformation and therefore it should be ignored.

    Dr Mamdouh G Salameh
    International Oil Economist
    Visiting Professor of Energy Economics at ESCP Europe Business School, London

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