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What’s Next For Oil? No One Seems To Agree

What’s Next For Oil? No One Seems To Agree

While many of the headlines…

Australia Risks Full Import-Dependence Without New Oil Finds

Caltex gas station

Australia needs to soon find new offshore oil, lest it becomes fully dependent on oil imports for transport fuel 10 years from now, the Australian Petroleum Production & Exploration Association (APPEA) warned on Friday.

APPEA Director South Australia, Matthew Doman, said that exploration in the Great Australian Bight was vital for the country’s energy security.

The industry body’s statement comes just a few days after BP (NYSE:BP) said it was quitting a US$600-million drilling operation in the Great Australian Bight. According to the company’s Australian managing director for exploration and production, Claire Fitzpatrick, the project was not in line with BP’s “strategic goals.” Another reason for the withdrawal could be the strong public opposition to drilling for oil in the pristine Bight, along with several regulatory delays, including two rejections from Australia’s National Offshore Petroleum Safety and Environmental Management Authority.

Today’s warning by APPEA builds on the Australian Energy Update 2016 by the Office of the Chief Economist published earlier this month, which said that the country has increased its reliance on oil imports, with imports now accounting for 85 percent of refinery input.
In addition, 45 percent of refined products consumption is being met by imports.

Related: The Saudi Aramco IPO May Be Bigger Than First Thought

Oil was still the single biggest primary energy source for Australia, at 38 percent in 2014–2015, followed by coal and natural gas.

Domestic crude oil, condensate and naturally occurring LPG output dropped by 6 percent in 2014-2015, as new supply was unable to offset declining production at aging fields. In addition, locally-produced crude grades are considered less suitable for use by refineries compared to those coming from imports, the energy update showed.

“The report highlights a worrying trend that could be rectified by successful exploration in the Great Australian Bight,” APPEA’s Doman said.

The industry body’s official expressed disappointment with BP’s decision, but said that Chevron (NYSE:CVX), Murphy Oil (NYSE:MUR), Santos and other companies would continue to pursue their exploration plans.

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com

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  • James Crossland on October 16 2016 said:
    Wouldn't matter a fig if Australia went to full imports. All oil, all over the world is priced by the market no matter where it's found or what country it's found in. Even the new American shale oil is sold on the world market even though America still has to buy half it's requirements.
    Finding more oil would be marketed the same way, on the spot market. There appears to be plenty of oil and that we really haven't reached peak at all. Venezuela has huge amounts, all they need to do in that country is get there selfish act together. By the same token, oil should be at a high price because using 95 million barrels per day must mean that it will in fact, run out or get dangerously low sometime in the future and God help us when that happens.
  • Joe on October 16 2016 said:
    Good article. Might as well add Australia to the list of countries with ever inreasing oil imports. With their ample amount of sunshine, this is a country we should watch to see if they can increase their EV usage and solar power generation enough to stem the imports for transportation fuels. Time will tell.

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