• 4 minutes Pompeo: Aramco Attacks Are An "Act Of War" By Iran
  • 7 minutes Who Really Benefits From The "Iran Attacked Saudi Arabia" Narrative?
  • 11 minutes Trump Will Win In 2020
  • 15 minutes Experts review Saudi damage photos. Say Said is need to do a lot of explaining.
  • 3 mins Ethanol, the Perfect Home Remedy for A Saudi Oil Fever
  • 6 hours Hong Kong protesters appeal to Trump for support.
  • 4 hours Millennials: A boil on the butt of the work ethic
  • 5 hours A little something for all you Offshore swabbies
  • 18 hours Iran Vows Major War Even If US Conducts "Limited Strikes"
  • 13 hours Ban Fracking? What in the World Are Democrats Thinking?
  • 16 hours Europe: The Cracks Are Beginning To Show
  • 25 mins When Trying To Be Objective About Ethanol, Don't Include Big Oil Lies To Balance The Argument
  • 4 hours Memorize date 05/15/2018 cause Huawei ban is the most important single event in world history after 9/11/2001.
  • 37 mins LA Times: Vote Trump out in 2020 to Prevent Climate Apocalypse
  • 3 hours Saudi State-of-Art Defense System looking the wrong way. MBS must fire Defense Minister. Oh, MBS is Defense Minister. Forget about it.
  • 6 hours US and China are already in a full economic war and this battle for global hegemony is a little bit frightening
  • 4 hours Shale profitability
  • 13 hours Let's shut down dissent like The Conversation in Australia
The Man That Could Trigger An Iran War

The Man That Could Trigger An Iran War

Tensions between Iran and its…

The Restoration Scenarios For Saudi Oil Supply

The Restoration Scenarios For Saudi Oil Supply

After the largest supply disruption…

10 U.S. Cities Most At Risk From Power Outages

 

More intense future hurricanes powered by warming global temperatures will significantly increase power blackouts for some major US cities, researchers predict.

Engineers created a new computer model to analyze the future vulnerability of power grids on or relatively near the Gulf and Atlantic coastlines. The findings should help metropolitan areas better plan for global warming.

U.S. Cities Vulnerable To Power Outages

A list of the Atlantic and Gulf coastal region cities whose power grids are most vulnerable to increased hurricane damage because of climate change. (Credit: Johns Hopkins University)

“We provide insight into how power systems … may be affected by climate changes, including which areas should be most concerned and which ones are unlikely to see substantial change,” says Seth Guikema, associate professor of geography and environmental engineering at Johns Hopkins University.

“If I’m mayor of Miami, we know about hurricanes, we know about outages, and our system has been adapted for it. But if I’m mayor of Philadelphia, I might say, ‘Whoa, we need to be doing more about this.'”

Related: The $17.6 Trillion Solution To Climate Change

Higher ocean temperatures coming as a result of global warming will provide more energy to developing storms, increasing their power and duration, scientists report. That will combine with rising sea levels, coastal development, and the degradation of protective wetlands to intensify storm-related damage and destruction.

For the study, published in the journal Climate Change, researchers factored in data from historic hurricanes and plausible scenarios for future storm behavior. With that information, the team could pinpoint which of 27 cities, from Texas to Maine, will become more susceptible to blackouts caused by future hurricanes.

NYC TOPS THE LIST

Topping the list of cities most likely to see big increases in their power outage risk are New York, New York; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Jacksonville, Florida; Virginia Beach, Virginia; and Hartford, Connecticut. Cities at the bottom of the list, whose future risk of outages is unlikely to dramatically change, include Memphis, Tennessee; Dallas, Texas; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania; Atlanta, Georgia; and Buffalo, New York.

Although planning for climate change is difficult due to the high degree of uncertainty about how hurricanes of the future will behave, researchers examined a range of potential changes in storm activity and quantified how those changes are likely to influence power outage risk.

By being able to anticipate the risks, officials could have a chance to protect cities against damage and to reinforce power grids, Guikema says.

Not surprisingly, the team’s results depend strongly on location. If climate change indeed intensifies hurricane activity, some areas of the country would feel the impact of it more than others.

100-YEAR STORMS

Cities already frequently on storm tracks, like Miami and New Orleans, would remain so. But cities like New York and Philadelphia as well as some more inland urban areas would likely be increasingly susceptible to more frequent and intense storm activity, researchers say.

Related: A Beginners Guide to Blackouts

For both New York City and Philadelphia, the 100-year storm scenario, that is, the level of storm impacts expected to be exceeded on average once every hundred years, would be 50 percent higher. More people would lose power more often, and the worst storms would be substantially worse.

In that same type of 100-year storm situation, researchers predict about a 30 percent increase in the number of customers without power in Miami and New Orleans relative to current climate conditions. In more geographically protected cities like Baltimore and Washington, DC, there would be about a 20 percent increase in the number of customers without power in the 100-year storm.

“The range of results demonstrates the sensitivity of the US power system to changes in storm behavior,” Guikema says. “Infrastructure providers and emergency managers need to plan for hurricanes in a long-term manner and that planning has to take climate change into account.”

Doctoral student Andrea Staid is the report’s lead author. The research was funded in part by the National Science Foundation.

By Jill Rosen-Johns Hopkins

Source - http://www.futurity.org/  

More Top Reads From Oilprice.com:



Join the discussion | Back to homepage

Leave a comment
  • ReduceGHGs on December 16 2014 said:
    But thanks to the mostly republican Congressmen/women very little has been done legislatively to reduce emissions.
    Join the efforts to change course. Insist that YOUR reps in Congress understand the implications of business-as-usual. If they don't, work to have them replaced. Our future generations are worth the effort.
    ExhaustingHabitability(dot)org

Leave a comment

Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News
Download on the App Store Get it on Google Play