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Geopolitics

Syria: Assad Winning as Opposition Counts Friends

Apr 04, 2012 at 17:10 | Charles Kennedy

Only a day after the Syrian regime vowed to meet a 10 April deadline to abide by an UN ceasefire resolution and had already purportedly begun to withdraw troops from…

How Energy Independence Influences Brazilian Geopolitics

Apr 03, 2012 at 17:35 | Geopolitical Monitor

Brazil is a rare gem, a rising power that has put itself on the path of energy independence thanks to a combination of forward-looking energy policies and newly discovered oil…

Azerbaijan Reportedly Grants Israel "Airbase Deal" - BAD Idea

Apr 02, 2012 at 16:57 | John Daly

According to a report in the British media, citing the authoritative U.S. journal “Foreign Policy,” U.S. officials have said that Israel's military may have secured access to Azeri strategic…

House of Saud to Meet Yemen's Oil Needs as Sana'a Internally Combusts

Apr 01, 2012 at 11:39 | Charles Kennedy

Saudi Arabia has pledged to provide Yemen with 100% of its domestic fuel needs for the months of April and May as the country descends into chaos which threatens to…

Treading Cautiously as Iran's Power Struggle Unfolds

Mar 21, 2012 at 17:51 | Charles Kennedy

The intelligence “leak” game that has intentionally provided the Obama Administration a temporary way out from under Republican and Israeli pressure to strike Iran is a fortuitous one that perhaps…

Game is on to Control Yemen's Oil

Mar 19, 2012 at 18:43 | Charles Kennedy

Whoever manages to control Yemen’s state resources, and particularly its oil, will be able to wield control over the country’s tribes by restoring the system of patronage relied on by…

India and China Vie for Influence in Nepal

Mar 13, 2012 at 18:01 | John Daly

In the titanic struggle for world supremacy fought between the U.S. and USSR between 1945 and 1991, all eyes were focused on their attempts to bring Third world nations to…

With Iran, How Hard Do Sanctions Really Bite?

Mar 05, 2012 at 18:02 | Daniel J. Graeber

Sanctions on the Iranian financial sector appear to be taking their toll. Planned oil embargoes by the European Union could be seen as largely symbolic moves by opponents of the…

5 Interesting Revelations from the Stratfor Memos

Feb 29, 2012 at 17:43 | Juan Cole

Wikileaks is publishing internal memos of the Stratfor security analysis firm. A few tidbits have emerged in these very early days, to wit: 1. Up to 12 Pakistani active-duty and…

The Vital Strategic Debate: Who - in the West - Lost Africa?

Feb 22, 2012 at 17:43 | Strategic Studies

The debate in the West over “who lost China” resonated in 1949 as the Nationalist forces of Generalissimo Chiang Kai-shek began their withdrawal to Taiwan from the Chinese mainland, and…

Falklands Flare Up - Could a New Oil Find Re-Ignite an Old Conflict?

Feb 20, 2012 at 17:52 | John Daly

The Falkland Islands, a British windswept archipelago in the southern Atlantic off the coast of Argentina, last had its moment in the media spotlight three decades ago, when the two…

China's Benign Foreign Policy Image at Odds with South China Sea Stance

Feb 19, 2012 at 12:35 | John Daly

Beijing for years has relentlessly projected a benign image in its foreign policy, but as its maritime neighbors are discovering, China’s pacifist representations do not extend to energy issues, most…

As the Syrian Crisis Deepens Will Russia Step in Before the UN?

Jan 31, 2012 at 17:30 | Juan Cole

The events of the past five days in Syria may be a game changer, both domestically and internationally. Last Thursday, opposition forces said, 100 people were killed. Massacres were alleged…

Imagination Can be a Dangerous Thing: Why Iran Must be Denied Nuclear Weapons

Jan 29, 2012 at 19:45 | James Burgess

In this essay I take a look at some scenarios that could arise following the successful development of the Iranian nuclear program, after which I think the reasons why so…

Yemen - What Next? Replay of 1979 Iranian Revolution?

Jan 23, 2012 at 17:59 | John Daly

On 22 January 70 year-old Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh, having ruled since 1978, left the Yemeni capital Sanaa onboard a private jet bound for who knows where, but apparently…

Iran: The Renewable Energy Carrot .vs. The Stick of War

Jan 21, 2012 at 10:51 | Juan Cole

As Iran proceeds ahead with its nuclear program, its tensions with the United States continue to heighten over concerns that it is secretly pursuing a nuclear weapons capability. Israelis view…

Natural Resource Depletion and the Changing Geopolitical Landscape

Jan 18, 2012 at 18:18 | Post Carbon

From competition among hunter-gatherers for wild game to imperialist wars over precious minerals, resource wars have been fought throughout history; today, however, the competition appears set to enter a new—and…

China Economic Clout and Nuclear Expertise Invades Saudi Arabia

Jan 17, 2012 at 20:38 | John Daly

Ever since the end of World War Two, the U.S. has come to regard Saudi Arabia as almost its exclusive oil producing enclave. In February 1945, after the Yalta…

China Casts Increasingly Large Investment Shadow Over Southeast Asian Neighbors

Jan 16, 2012 at 22:05 | John Daly

Thinking of opening a textile mill in Kampuchea? A shrimp farm in Vietnam? Anything at all in Laos or Myanmar? Then think fast and act, as China is increasingly dominating…

The Hemispheric Implications of Hugo Chavez's Illness

Jan 16, 2012 at 21:38 | John Daly

The recent dramatic pronouncement that Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez underwent cancer treatment in Cuba reverberated far beyond Venezuela, depressing his allies and elating his enemies. While the leader of his…

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