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Geopolitics

Will the Territory Dispute in the South China Sea Lead to War?

Aug 09, 2012 at 17:04 | Dave Summers

In the introductory remarks to these posts on Chinese energy supplies and usage, I mentioned that one of the concerns beginning to be evident lies in disputes over the…

China and the U.S. in Africa - Who's "Ahead?"

Aug 08, 2012 at 17:25 | John Daly

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is in the midst of an 11-day trip across sub-Saharan Africa. Speaking on 1 August on the topic “Remarks on Building Sustainable Partnerships in…

Violence may Hinder Sudanese Oil Advances

Aug 07, 2012 at 17:11 | Daniel J. Graeber

South Sudan and Sudan made headway in resolving oil disputes lingering since January. A peace deal that secured South Sudan's independence last year called for equal divisions of oil revenue…

Subdued Optimism as Sudan's Cut Oil Transit Deal

Aug 06, 2012 at 17:10 | Charles Kennedy

Sudan and South Sudan reached an agreement on oil transit fees over the weekend, and while unresolved security and border issues will continue to hinder peace, South Sudan has strengthened…

Kurds Don't Hold all the Cards in Iraqi Oil Battle

Aug 03, 2012 at 18:44 | Charles Kennedy

The battle between the Iraqi central government in Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) in northern Iraq is picking up dangerous momentum as Baghdad attempts to fight back against…

Iraq's Kurdish Region Pulling Away from Baghdad Control

Aug 03, 2012 at 18:34 | John Daly

To paraphrase Apollo 13, “Baghdad, we have a problem.” Iraq’s Kurdistan Regional Government's (KRG) is increasingly signing unilateral oil deals with international oil giants, bypassing Baghdad. Iraq’s central…

A New Global Pattern is Emerging Which Will Dictate How Strategies Are Planned

Jul 31, 2012 at 17:12 | Gregory R. Copley

Economic, social, political, and demographic changes are key drivers in what is a transforming global strategic architecture. This will necessitate a revision of existing power projection, trade, and intelligence priorities,…

Pakistan Moves Toward Political, if Not Economic, Stability

Jul 30, 2012 at 17:18 | Gregory R. Copley

Pakistan, with its political stand-off with the US Government now at least superficially resolved — and with Coalition convoys once again resuming logistical activities between the port of Karachi and…

How the Uprising in Syria Could Affect the Global Oil Market

Jul 27, 2012 at 17:12 | Post Carbon

In surveying the multiple, uprisings, insurgencies, insurrections, confrontations and what have you currently going on in the Middle East, it is hard to believe that all this turmoil will not…

Can Libya Repel the Invaders and Survive?

Jul 27, 2012 at 16:57 | Gregory R. Copley

Libyans went, on July 7, 2012, into their first national elections in decades, and foreign observers hailed the fact that the event took place so well, and that democracy had…

Global Energy Could Change as the Autocracies of Ethiopia and Eritrea Fall Apart

Jul 26, 2012 at 17:05 | Gregory R. Copley

The Emperor’s Ghost: How the Transformations in the Horn of Africa and Red Sea Reflect, and Help Change, the Global Energy and Geopolitical SceneThe Red Sea and Africa’s…

Iraqi Oil Showdown and the Syria End-Game

Jul 25, 2012 at 16:02 | Charles Kennedy

As the Iraqi central government struggles to subdue the implications of the unilateral oil deals northern Iraq’s Kurdish government is making with Western oil majors, an end-game scenario for Syria…

Iran at Its Strategic Juncture

Jul 18, 2012 at 18:35 | Gregory R. Copley

Iran, no less than the European Union or the United States of America, faces a series of problems which place it at a critical strategic junction. It now faces urgent…

Oil Opens Another Frontline of War in Somalia

Jul 13, 2012 at 17:52 | Charles Kennedy

Kenya has raised the ire of Somalia by awarding offshore oil and gas exploration blocks to multinational companies in contested waters, and while the mainstream Western media glosses over this…

Does Democracy Cloud Libya's Oil Future?

Jul 11, 2012 at 17:10 | Daniel J. Graeber

Oil ports in eastern Libya had reopened by Monday, ending a weekend shutdown that coincided with the first democratic elections in a generation. NATO forces last year intervened in a…

Kenya Anchor to East African Oil Economy

Jul 06, 2012 at 17:00 | Daniel J. Graeber

Major international oil companies are taking a close look at the offshore oil potential in East African states. London-listed explorer Tullow Oil said it was interested in fast-tracking its…

Business as Usual for Big Oil Despite Falkland Tensions

Jul 05, 2012 at 17:44 | Charles Kennedy

While tensions between Britain and Argentina have been rising as a natural response to the 30th anniversary of the Falkland War, oil is the primary driver of a renewed Falkland…

Why NATO Cannot Deal with Syria, in the Same Way as Libya

Jul 02, 2012 at 15:44 | Editorial Dept

The Assad regime’s persistent use of deadly force to crush a 16-month uprising by Syrian rebels is now expected to continue without foreign intervention, leaving many observers wondering why the…

Baghdad Snubs Biden over Oil 'Diplomacy'

Jun 22, 2012 at 17:30 | Charles Kennedy

That Washington was willing to set Vice-President Joe Biden up to be snubbed by Baghdad demonstrates how serious the north-south war over Iraqi oil and gas is and how the…

As the US Decline Continues, Canada Looks to Step in

Jun 21, 2012 at 16:39 | Editorial Dept

The world order of the 21st century is undergoing a deep transformation as the post-Cold War United States hegemony continues its slow and steady decline. As a result, we are…

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