• 3 minutes Could Venezuela become a net oil importer?
  • 7 minutes Reuters: OPEC Ministers Agree In Principle On 1 Million Barrels Per Day Nominal Output Increase
  • 12 minutes Battle for Oil Port: East Libya Forces In Full Control At Ras Lanuf
  • 18 hours Could Venezuela become a net oil importer?
  • 10 hours Reuters: OPEC Ministers Agree In Principle On 1 Million Barrels Per Day Nominal Output Increase
  • 21 hours Tesla Closing a Dozen Solar Facilities in Nine States
  • 3 hours Oil prices going Up? NO!
  • 17 hours Gazprom Exports to EU Hit Record
  • 19 hours EU Leaders Set To Prolong Russia Sanctions Again
  • 17 hours Could oil demand collapse rapidly? Yup, sure could.
  • 11 hours Oil prices going down
  • 21 hours Why is permian oil "locked in" when refineries abound?
  • 17 hours Oil Buyers Club
  • 21 hours EVs Could Help Coal Demand
  • 9 hours Russia's Energy Minister says Oil Prices Balanced at $75, so Wants to Increase OPEC + Russia Oil by 1.5 mbpd
  • 1 day China’s Plastic Waste Ban Will Leave 111 Million Tons of Trash With Nowhere To Go
  • 1 day Saudi Arabia plans to physically cut off Qatar by moat, nuclear waste and military base
  • 4 hours Battle for Oil Port: East Libya Forces In Full Control At Ras Lanuf
  • 15 hours Saudi Arabia turns to solar
Alt Text

Saudi Aramco Looks To Double Refining Capacity

Saudi Aramco looks to almost…

Alt Text

Russia Boosts Oil Production Before OPEC Meeting

Russia pumped almost 11.1 million…

Alt Text

3 Possible Outcomes From The OPEC Meeting

With the OPEC meeting nearing,…

Ron Patterson

Ron Patterson

Ron Patterson is a retired computer engineer. He worked in Saudi Arabia for five years, two years at the Ghazlan Power Plant near Ras Tanura…

More Info

Trending Discussions

Texan Oil Production Rises In January

Texan Oil Production Rises In January

Most of the charts that follow were produced by Dean Fantazzini and are in barrels of output per day for oil, condensate, and oil plus condensate except where noted. In my opinion Dean’s estimates for Texas output for the most recent 24 months are the best that I have seen. I appreciate him sharing his outstanding work with us.

(Click to enlarge)

In the chart above corrected output is 3477 kb/d for TX C+C in Jan 2016, an increase of 73 kb/d from Dec 2015. Note that from May 2015 to Dec 2015 the most recent month’s estimate has been about 28 kb/d too high on average, so actual Jan 2016 output might be about 3450 kb/d.

(Click to enlarge)

The chart above compares Dean’s corrected C+C estimate with both the EIA estimate and RRC data, which is incomplete for the most recent 24 months. The “RRC error %” is Dean’s “corrected” divided by RRC data minus one times one hundred and is read from the right axis.

(Click to enlarge)

Texas oil output was 3014 kb/d in Jan 2016 based on Dean’s corrected estimate, an increase of 73.5 kb/d from Dec 2015.

(Click to enlagre)

The corrected Texas condensate output was 463 kb/d in Jan 2016, a decrease of 1 kb/d from Dec 2015.

(Click to enlarge)

The chart above is in thousands of cubic feet per day. The Jan 2016 corrected estimate is 2381 million cubic feet per day, a decrease of 176 million cubic feet per day from Dec 2015.

(Click to enlarge)

The chart above shows how Dean’s estimates have changed over time from April 2015 to Jan 2016. Notice especially the big change in the estimates from April to June 2015, after that the estimates seem to converge nicely from June 2015 through Jan 2016. My guess is that the data processing in Texas has been improving dramatically over the past 7 months.

A possible explanation for the difference in the oil data compared to condensate and natural gas that Dean has noticed may be that the RRC has chosen to focus on the oil data first as this is where most of the tax revenue comes from. Better data (more complete that is) from condensate and natural gas will soon follow.

(Click to enlarge)

This final chart blows up the vertical scale somewhat to better compare Dean’s corrected estimate for C+C with EIA and RRC data, the scale is in kb/d (different from the other charts). It also shows the trailing 12 month running average for C+C output. The 12 month average of Texas C+C output has been on a rough plateau between 3450 and 3500 kb/d since July 2015 based on Dean’s Jan 2016 estimate.

By Dennis Coyne via Peakoilbarrel.com

More Top Reads From Oilprice.com:




Back to homepage

Trending Discussions


Leave a comment

Leave a comment




Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News