• 4 minutes Is The Three Gorges Dam on the Brink of Collapse?
  • 8 minutes The Coal Industry May Never Recover From The Pandemic
  • 11 minutes China Raids Bank and Investor Accounts
  • 52 mins Sources confirm Trump to sign two new Executive orders.
  • 21 mins CV19: New York 21% infection rate + 40% Existing T-Cell immunity = 61% = Herd Immunity ?
  • 13 hours Why Wind is pitiful for most regions on earth
  • 6 hours In a Nutshell...
  • 14 mins No More Love: Kanye West Breaks With Trump, Claims 2020 Run Is Not A Stunt
  • 2 hours A Real Reality Check on "Green Hydrogen"
  • 1 day During March, April, May the states with the highest infections/deaths were NY, NJ, Ma. . . . . Today (June) the three have the best numbers. How ? Herd immunity ?
  • 16 hours Why Oil could hit $100
  • 4 mins Better Days Are (Not) Coming: Fed Officials Suggest U.S. Recovery May Be Stalling
  • 4 hours Putin Paid Militants to Kill US Troops
  • 4 days Joe Biden to black radio host, "If you don't vote for me you ain't black". That's our Democratic Party nominee ?
  • 2 days Coronavirus hype biggest political hoax in history
Julianne Geiger

Julianne Geiger

Julianne Geiger is a veteran editor, writer and researcher for Oilprice.com, and a member of the Creative Professionals Networking Group.

More Info

Premium Content

Oil Spikes After OPEC Reaches Deal On Output Cap

According to a Reuters source, The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has in fact reached a deal that will “limit” oil production, and oil prices are in for a wild ride yet again as a result.

What was reported as mere rumor this morning, is apparently now a certainty. Reuters had reported this morning that OPEC may announce an output freeze deal later today, as part of the informal talks on the matter on the sidelines of the International Energy Forum, but details of the deal would be withheld until November.

The market was already moving upward on the back of this morning’s EIA report, which reported a draw in crude oil inventories of 1.9 million barrels—the fourth draw in a week. The news that there is a deal—any deal—will send prices higher.

(Click to enlarge)

Image source: Zerohedge.com

The 32.5 million bpd production “limit” that OPEC reportedly agreed upon, of course, could be difficult to achieve as OPEC's August output amounted 33.24 million bpd —  altogether, this output limit is unlikely to do much in the way of structurally stabilizing prices. In all likelihood, a final deal would include some concessions for Iran, who has dug in their heels on the issue of ramping up oil production to previous levels. And any deal certainly does not yet include an agreement from Russia, who is producing oil in record quantities. 

On top of those unknowns, the deal will not be executed for a couple of months, so in the meantime, Iran, Russia, and Saudi Arabia—along with Libya and Nigeria who are ramping up production—will be adding to today’s supply glut, with US inventory draws remaining insufficient to rebalance the equation.

By Julianne Geiger for Oilprice.com

More Top Reads From Oilprice.com:


Download The Free Oilprice App Today

Back to homepage





Leave a comment
  • Craig Woerpel on September 28 2016 said:
    Jawboning? Rhetoric? Rumor? I told you a cut would happen because it is in SA and Iran's self interest. They don't have to love each other.
  • Kr55 on September 28 2016 said:
    If the Saudi's stop selling their stored oil, it will be a big chunk of that cut. The amount of oil Saudi's have sold from their reserves this year dwarfs the build in US crude so far in 2016.
  • Taimein on September 28 2016 said:
    lets hope that its not just another rumor like happened back a few months ago jumped the prices 8-12% ,nothing but a lie ,i do wonder how they get away with it 3 or 4 days passed before they corrected the post or multiple post ,done with one purpose in mind to prop the prices up ,freezing the production at all time highs ,what if America did that ,allot of thoughts and ideas ,im beginning to truly think when its all said and done 40-50 will be about it ,the earth has plenty
  • Bob on September 29 2016 said:
    While I'm convinced oil prices will be significantly higher at some point, this OPEC farce makes me think it might now take longer to achieve.

    It would seem that to freeze or marginally reduce OPEC production while letting some major players like Iran, Nigeria, and probably Iraq increase production implies other members will have to voluntarily reduce production. What are the odds of that happening with the ever present US shale threat?

    A telling sign might be that no member allocations have been decided yet, which is really the deal that needs to be agreed upon. Could be OPEC had to announce something positive in Algiers just so they wouldn't look ridiculous.

    I guess we'll see in November but if oil prices rise a bit in the meantime and US producers are able to sell more stock to fund further drilling, this OPEC maybe agreement may have pushed out noticeably higher oil prices rather than bringing them closer.

Leave a comment




Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News