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Ron Patterson

Ron Patterson

Ron Patterson is a retired computer engineer. He worked in Saudi Arabia for five years, two years at the Ghazlan Power Plant near Ras Tanura…

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Bakken Output Continues To Fall Along With Rig Count

Oil Rigs

The North Dakota Oil Production Stats are out. North Dakota crude oil production was down just less than 10,000 barrels per day.

(Click to enlarge)

Bakken crude oil production was down 7,743 bpd in March while all North Dakota production was down 9,846 barrels per day. Related: Energy Sector Hit With Two More Big Bankruptcies

From the Director’s Cut:

Producing Wells

February 13,017

March 13,024 (preliminary) (all-time high was Oct 2015 13,190)

Permitting

February 70 drilling and 1 seismic

March 56 drilling and 4 seismic

April 66 drilling and 0 seismic (all time high was 370 in 10/2012)

ND Sweet Crude Price

February $18.07/barrel

March $26.62/barrel

April $26.87/barrel

Today $33.00/barrel (all-time high was $136.29 7/3/2008)

Rig Count

February 40

March 32

April 29

Today’s rig count is 27 (lowest since July 2005 when it was 27)(all-time high was 218 on 5/29/2012)

Comments:

The drilling rig count fell 8 from February to March, 3 from March to April, and 2 more from April to today. Operators remain committed to running the minimum number of rigs while oil prices remain below $60/barrel WTI. The number of well completions fell from 64 (final) in February to 59 (preliminary) in March. Oil price weakness is the primary reason for the slow-down and is now anticipated to last into at least the third quarter of this year and perhaps into the second quarter of 2017. There were no significant precipitation events, 4 days with wind speeds in excess of 35 mph (too high for completion work), and no days with temperatures below -10F. Related: Where Will Halliburton And Baker Hughes Go From Here?

Over 98 percent of drilling now targets the Bakken and Three Forks formations.

Estimated wells waiting on completion services is 920, up 13 from the end of February to the end of March. Estimated inactive well count is 1,523, up 84 from the end of February to the end of March.

(Click to enlarge)

Looking at the longer term chart we can see that the increase in production beginning in around 2011 was very steep while the decline has been less dramatic.

(Click to enlarge)

North Dakota change in barrels per day, 12 month trailing average, actually went negative in September of 2015. It is unlikely to go positive for at least two years, if it ever does again.

(Click to enlarge) Related: EPA Launches New Methane Rules For Oil And Gas

Bakken barrels per day per well now stands at 101 barrels for the Bakken and 87 for North Dakota.

(Click to enlarge)

North Dakota Wells Producing has plateaued. North Dakota wells producing in March was actually 83 wells less than it was in October 2015. Of course new wells are added each month but old wells are shut down.

By Ron Patterson via Peakoilbarrel.com

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