• 17 hours Trump's top energy adviser resigns
  • 9 hours Russia retaliate: Our Response to U.S. Sanctions Will Be Precise And Painful
  • 14 hours Mike Pompeo, CIA Chief, Met Secretly with NK Leader Kim Jong-un
  • 4 hours New EV ETF Bets Bigger on BHP than Tesla
  • 10 hours Is Today's Tesla News Good or Bad?
  • 2 days Supreme Court drops DOJ case against Microsoft
  • 20 hours No lower offshore drilling royalty rates
  • 19 hours Oil Prices Hit Highest Level Since 2014
  • 14 hours Anybody Watching Aluminum Stocks Today??
  • 18 hours EIA Inventory Data (Wednesdays)
  • 1 day VW To Introduce Autonomous Parking In 2020
  • 11 hours Trump: "Larry, go get it done,'” - US to rejoin TPP
  • 1 day Venezuela gives Oil Minister 'Extra Powers' to halt production decline
  • 2 days How much pain is Qatar in as it goes for first bond sale since blockade?
  • 2 days Patent for a Healthy Future: Plastic-Eating Enzyme Holds Promise In Fighting Pollution
  • 2 days Net Income At Saudi Aramco Tops $33 bn in the first half of 2017!
Ron Patterson

Ron Patterson

Ron Patterson is a retired computer engineer. He worked in Saudi Arabia for five years, two years at the Ghazlan Power Plant near Ras Tanura…

More Info

Trending Discussions

Texas Oil Production Remains Strong…But For How Long?

Midland

Dean Fantazzini has provided his latest estimates for Texas Oil and Natural Gas output.

(Click to enlarge)

Data below is for Texas C+C estimates in kb/d.

(Click to enlarge)

Data below is for Texas Natural Gas in billions of cubic feet per day (BCF/d).  All data uses all vintage data for the correction factors and 3 months uses only the average of the correction factors for the most recent 3 months.

The chart below shows how the correction factors have changed over time, the average of these correction factors for T to T-11 are found for all vintage data (all shown in chart), most recent 3 months, and most recent 12 months and compared with EIA data. The average correction factor is added to the most recent Texas RRC reported output data. For the current report T= June 2017, T-1= May 2017, etc. The actual estimate in the first chart shown above uses Data for T to T-23, but I only showed the data for T to T-11 in the chart below. The correction factors get progressively smaller as we go further back in time (T-23 is the smallest).

(Click to enlarge)

Related: Goldman Sachs Warns Of Global Oil Demand Peak

After June 2016, there was a shift in the correction factors to lower average values. The table below shows the average correction factors for the most recent 12 months (July 2016 to June 2017) and compares with the average correction factor from earlier data (April 2014 to June 2016). The RRC data seems to be improving, but for the most recent 7 months (Nov 2016 to June 2017) about 100 kb/d to 500 kb/d needs to be added to the RRC data to “correct” for incomplete data. Those with access to the “pending file” from the RRC have a better shot at a good estimate. This data is included in the estimates from drilling info for Texas.

By Peak Oil Barrel

More Top Reads From Oilprice.com:




Back to homepage

Trending Discussions


Leave a comment

Leave a comment




Oilprice - The No. 1 Source for Oil & Energy News