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Geopolitics

Sudan: The Oil Drums of War

Apr 13, 2012 at 16:33 | Daniel J. Graeber

The U.S. special envoy for Sudan told reporters in January he was "very concerned" about the situation in Sudan. South Sudan and Sudan split last year under the terms…

U.S. Risks Involvement in Regional Central Asian Disputes

Apr 12, 2012 at 16:56 | John Daly

The Pentagon, clearly unsettled by its proposed 2014 drawdown of the U.S. military presence in Afghanistan, has cast its net wide to retain a presence in Central Asia’s post-Soviet states.…

As Mali Risks Regional Stability, No One Is Asking the Right Questions

Apr 10, 2012 at 13:40 | Charles Kennedy

A lot has happened in Mali in less than three weeks’ time. Renegade soldiers have declared a coup d’état; Touareg separatists have carved out their own state the size of…

Intelligence Report: Why Prospects of an Israel Iran Conflict Remain Low

Apr 08, 2012 at 09:55 | Gregory R. Copley

Global security concerns continued, in early April 2012, to be geared around the possibility of armed conflict between Iran and Israel, an issue hedged by a range of other conflicts…

Pakistan and India to go to War over Water?

Apr 04, 2012 at 17:28 | John Daly

A peaceful and stable Pakistan is integral to western efforts to pacify Afghanistan, but Islamabad’s obsessions with its giant eastern neighbor may render such issues moot.Since partition in 1947,…

Syria: Assad Winning as Opposition Counts Friends

Apr 04, 2012 at 17:10 | Charles Kennedy

Only a day after the Syrian regime vowed to meet a 10 April deadline to abide by an UN ceasefire resolution and had already purportedly begun to withdraw troops from…

How Energy Independence Influences Brazilian Geopolitics

Apr 03, 2012 at 17:35 | Geopolitical Monitor

Brazil is a rare gem, a rising power that has put itself on the path of energy independence thanks to a combination of forward-looking energy policies and newly discovered oil…

Azerbaijan Reportedly Grants Israel "Airbase Deal" - BAD Idea

Apr 02, 2012 at 16:57 | John Daly

According to a report in the British media, citing the authoritative U.S. journal “Foreign Policy,” U.S. officials have said that Israel's military may have secured access to Azeri strategic…

House of Saud to Meet Yemen's Oil Needs as Sana'a Internally Combusts

Apr 01, 2012 at 11:39 | Charles Kennedy

Saudi Arabia has pledged to provide Yemen with 100% of its domestic fuel needs for the months of April and May as the country descends into chaos which threatens to…

Treading Cautiously as Iran's Power Struggle Unfolds

Mar 21, 2012 at 17:51 | Charles Kennedy

The intelligence “leak” game that has intentionally provided the Obama Administration a temporary way out from under Republican and Israeli pressure to strike Iran is a fortuitous one that perhaps…

Game is on to Control Yemen's Oil

Mar 19, 2012 at 18:43 | Charles Kennedy

Whoever manages to control Yemen’s state resources, and particularly its oil, will be able to wield control over the country’s tribes by restoring the system of patronage relied on by…

India and China Vie for Influence in Nepal

Mar 13, 2012 at 18:01 | John Daly

In the titanic struggle for world supremacy fought between the U.S. and USSR between 1945 and 1991, all eyes were focused on their attempts to bring Third world nations to…

With Iran, How Hard Do Sanctions Really Bite?

Mar 05, 2012 at 18:02 | Daniel J. Graeber

Sanctions on the Iranian financial sector appear to be taking their toll. Planned oil embargoes by the European Union could be seen as largely symbolic moves by opponents of the…

5 Interesting Revelations from the Stratfor Memos

Feb 29, 2012 at 17:43 | Juan Cole

Wikileaks is publishing internal memos of the Stratfor security analysis firm. A few tidbits have emerged in these very early days, to wit: 1. Up to 12 Pakistani active-duty and…

The Vital Strategic Debate: Who - in the West - Lost Africa?

Feb 22, 2012 at 17:43 | Strategic Studies

The debate in the West over “who lost China” resonated in 1949 as the Nationalist forces of Generalissimo Chiang Kai-shek began their withdrawal to Taiwan from the Chinese mainland, and…

Falklands Flare Up - Could a New Oil Find Re-Ignite an Old Conflict?

Feb 20, 2012 at 17:52 | John Daly

The Falkland Islands, a British windswept archipelago in the southern Atlantic off the coast of Argentina, last had its moment in the media spotlight three decades ago, when the two…

China's Benign Foreign Policy Image at Odds with South China Sea Stance

Feb 19, 2012 at 12:35 | John Daly

Beijing for years has relentlessly projected a benign image in its foreign policy, but as its maritime neighbors are discovering, China’s pacifist representations do not extend to energy issues, most…

As the Syrian Crisis Deepens Will Russia Step in Before the UN?

Jan 31, 2012 at 17:30 | Juan Cole

The events of the past five days in Syria may be a game changer, both domestically and internationally. Last Thursday, opposition forces said, 100 people were killed. Massacres were alleged…

Imagination Can be a Dangerous Thing: Why Iran Must be Denied Nuclear Weapons

Jan 29, 2012 at 19:45 | James Burgess

In this essay I take a look at some scenarios that could arise following the successful development of the Iranian nuclear program, after which I think the reasons why so…

Yemen - What Next? Replay of 1979 Iranian Revolution?

Jan 23, 2012 at 17:59 | John Daly

On 22 January 70 year-old Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh, having ruled since 1978, left the Yemeni capital Sanaa onboard a private jet bound for who knows where, but apparently…

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