Gail Tverberg

Latest articles from Gail

• Is The Global Debt Bubble About To Burst?

  Published 18 May 2022 | viewed 18,054 times

  The years between 1981 and 2020 were very special years for the world economy because interest rates were generally falling: Figure 1. Yields on 10-year…

• Is Global Oil Production Growing Fast Enough?

  Published 25 April 2022 | viewed 7,614 times

  Media outlets tend to make it sound as if all our economic problems are temporary problems, related to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. In fact, world…

• Putin’s War Is A Disaster For The Global Economy

  Published 03 April 2022 | viewed 11,240 times

  Most people have a preconceived notion that there will be a clear winner and loser from any war. In their view, the world economy will…

• Can The World Economy Function Without Russian Oil?

  Published 05 March 2022 | viewed 42,746 times

  Russia’s attack on Ukraine represents a demand for a new world order that, over the long term, will support higher prices for fossil fuels, especially…

• The Biggest Problem With The Green Energy Revolution

  Published 27 February 2022 | viewed 17,080 times

  We have been told that intermittent electricity from wind and solar, perhaps along with hydroelectric generation (hydro), can be the basis of a green economy.…

• The Energy Crisis That No One Is Talking About

  Published 06 May 2021 | viewed 28,373 times

  We live in a world where words are very carefully chosen. Companies hire public relations firms to give just the right “spin” to what they…

• Energy And Our Collapsing Debt Bubble

  Published 25 March 2021 | viewed 7,206 times

  A $1.9 trillion stimulus package was recently signed into law in the United States. Can such a stimulus bill, plus packages passed in other countries,…

• The Post-COVID ‘Great Reset’ Won’t Be Fueled By Renewables

  Published 03 September 2020 | viewed 22,830 times

  It seems like a reset of an economy should work like a reset of your computer: Turn it off and turn it back on again;…

• Recession Fears Cap Oil Prices In 2020

  Published 11 January 2020 | viewed 41,660 times

  Energy Forecast for 2020 Overall, I expect that oil and other commodity prices will remain low in 2020. These low oil prices will adversely affect…

• Could Low Energy Growth Lead To A Recession?

  Published 14 December 2019 | viewed 13,653 times

  Many people have the impression that recessions come from financial missteps, such as the US subprime loan fiasco. If energy is involved at all, the…

• The Big Lie Behind Global Energy Policy

  Published 16 November 2019 | viewed 31,818 times

  The world today has a myriad of energy policies. One of them seems to be to encourage renewables, especially wind and solar. Another seems to…

• Renewable Energy's Inconvenient Truth

  Published 26 October 2019 | viewed 194,873 times

  The energy needs of the world’s economy seem to be easy to model. Energy consumption is measured in a variety of different ways including kilowatt-hours,…

• The Biggest Problem With Renewables

  Published 03 August 2019 | viewed 37,279 times

  Powering the world’s economy with wind, water and solar, and perhaps a little wood sounds like a good idea until a person looks at the…

• Why We Should Worry About Low Oil Prices

  Published 01 December 2018 | viewed 37,835 times

  Many people, including most Peak Oilers, expect that oil prices will rise endlessly. They expect rising oil prices because, over time, companies find it necessary…

• Are High Oil Prices Sustainable?

  Published 21 April 2018 | viewed 19,288 times

  Oil prices are now as high as they have been for three years. At this writing, Brent is $74.14 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate…

• Continuously Rising Energy Costs Will Cripple The Economy

  Published 08 April 2018 | viewed 21,915 times

  The most prevalent view regarding future oil supply, as well as total energy supply, seems to be fairly closely related to that expressed by Peak…

• Oil Markets Should Fear A Demand Shortage

  Published 18 March 2018 | viewed 46,677 times

  It is impossible to tell the whole oil story, but perhaps I can offer a few insights regarding where we are today. [1] We already…

• Increased Interest Rates Could Cause A Drop In Oil Prices

  Published 24 February 2018 | viewed 26,949 times

  Central bankers seem to think that adjusting interest rates is a nice little tool that they can easily handle. The problem is that higher interest…

• How Globalization Will Create An Energy Crisis

  Published 03 February 2018 | viewed 30,643 times

  Since the late 1990s, globalization has seemed to be the great hope for the future. Now this great hope seems to be dimming. Globalization sets…

• Could An Oil Surplus Be A Sign Of Things To Come?

  Published 14 January 2018 | viewed 25,797 times

  Today, we have a surplus of oil, which we are trying to use up. That has never happened before, or did it? Well, actually, it…