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Geopolitics

IRAN-IRAQ: Pipeline to Syria Ups Ante in Proxy War with Qatar

Feb 22, 2013 at 13:24 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Iraq’s agreement to allow Iran to build a pipeline through its territory and on to Syria is in direct competition with Qatar’s similar designs for a Syria pipeline…

INVESTOR WARNING: Bolivia Nationalizes Airport Management Company

Feb 22, 2013 at 13:13 | Editorial Dept

Bottom line: Evo Morales’ expropriation of Servicios de Aeropuertos Bolivianos SA (SABSA)--a subsidiary of the Spanish businesses Abertis and Aena--is another warning for foreign investors in Bolivia. SABSA managed the…

North Korea: Preparing for War

Feb 21, 2013 at 17:02 | Charles Kennedy

The latest in the North Korea drama is the release of a video portraying US President Barack Obama and American troops going up in flames. But it’s not just…

East Africa Unites to Overcome Power Shortages

Feb 21, 2013 at 17:00 | John Daly

Tanzania, Kenya, Burundi and Rwanda are burying their nationalism to cooperate on upgrading their energy infrastructure.Tanzania has natural gas and coal, Kenya is a potential dynamo of geothermal…

Rhetoric Increases as Falkland Referendum Looms

Feb 20, 2013 at 17:05 | Charles Kennedy

Next month will determine the eventual fate of the Falkland Islands—and the 1.4 billion barrels of oil so far discovered there—when a referendum on self-determination is held. In…

Could Iraq Blow its Oil Opportunity?

Feb 18, 2013 at 17:25 | Daniel J. Graeber

Militants in Iraq targeted a 16-inch fuel oil pipeline from the country's largest refinery last weekend. The attack forced the country to ship fuel oil by road through the northern…

DPRK Test Nuclear Weapon Destined for Iran

Feb 18, 2013 at 17:10 | Gregory R. Copley

All intelligence indicators received and processed by GIS/Defense & Foreign Affairs show that the nuclear weapon tested by the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK: North Korea) on February 12,…

China Decides that South China Sea Oil is a National Asset

Feb 15, 2013 at 17:42 | John Daly

While the Western press is fixated on both recent North Korean nuclear tests and Beijing’s recent skirmishes with Japan over the Senkaku (“Diaoyu” in Chinese) islands, other maritime issues have…

IRAN: Behind the Scenes Ahead of Kazakhstan Talks

Feb 14, 2013 at 16:38 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Against the backdrop of 25 February P5+1 talks in Astana, Kazakhstan, the Obama administration is seeking to lay the foundation for a deal with Tehran once Iran’s June…

YEMEN: Not an Iranian Invasion

Feb 14, 2013 at 16:34 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: US claims that Iran is smuggling weapons to Shi’ite Houthi militants in Yemen come as Yemen embarks on a serious restructuring of the military to rid it of…

Libya: Countrywide Alert, Capital Uncertainty

Feb 14, 2013 at 14:41 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: While the oil-rich Benghazi region has been in a critical security state for some time, the capital Tripoli should be considered a top threat. Lufthansa and Austrian Airlines…

Syria, L'Enfant Terrible of Foreign Politics

Feb 13, 2013 at 16:55 | Claude Salhani

Syria today finds itself on the edge of a precipice, on the verge of falling into a deep political, social and economic abyss that could send the country spiralling into…

The Real Reason Behind Argentina's Renewed Interest in the Falkland Islands

Feb 12, 2013 at 16:44 | Charles Kennedy

Argentina is persisting with its claims to the Falkland Islands, perhaps with a dangerous insistence that many in London had underestimated. Hector Timerman, the Argentine Foreign Minister, recently made outlandish…

With Jewell, Obama Says Go Green or Go Home

Feb 08, 2013 at 17:14 | Daniel J. Graeber

Sally Jewell, President Barack Obama's choice to replace Interior Secretary Ken Salazar, comes with a resume filled not only with big oil credentials but also with environmental street credibility. The…

Assassination in Tunisia, Trigger for Revolutionary Revival

Feb 08, 2013 at 14:20 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: The assassination on 6 February of opposition politician Chokri Belaid, a notable opponent of the Islamist-led government, is the trigger that will push the ongoing political crisis and…

Turkish Leftist Group Claims Ankara Bombing

Feb 08, 2013 at 14:17 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: A leftist group has claimed responsibility for the bombing of the US Embassy in Ankara, but if this is a message about Turkey’s role in the Syrian conflict…

The Syrian End Game: A Private Actor Arena

Feb 08, 2013 at 14:15 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Our attempts at offering probability scenarios for an end game in Syria are crippled by the intensified meddling of a growing number of private actors who have formed…

Africa No.1 Risk Area for Oil Tankers

Feb 06, 2013 at 17:23 | John Daly

First, the good news.Piracy off Somalia is down. In 2012, there were 297 piracy attacks and 28 hijackings worldwide, according to the International Maritime Bureau’s Piracy Reporting…

Foreign Energy Investors Should Not Give Up on Egypt

Feb 06, 2013 at 17:21 | Charles Kennedy

Egypt is not only hungry for energy—it’s starving, and this starvation will play a role in the underlying revolutionary instability that has foreign investors asking whether the other boot is…

Mali, Nigeria, and the Bigger Picture

Feb 05, 2013 at 16:52 | Gregory R. Copley

The Mali War will be neither simple nor quick, ‘though the players all wish it so.  Timboctou, almost a year in the hands of militants, had fallen to…

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