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Geopolitics

IRAN: Behind the Scenes Ahead of Kazakhstan Talks

Feb 14, 2013 at 16:38 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Against the backdrop of 25 February P5+1 talks in Astana, Kazakhstan, the Obama administration is seeking to lay the foundation for a deal with Tehran once Iran’s June…

YEMEN: Not an Iranian Invasion

Feb 14, 2013 at 16:34 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: US claims that Iran is smuggling weapons to Shi’ite Houthi militants in Yemen come as Yemen embarks on a serious restructuring of the military to rid it of…

Libya: Countrywide Alert, Capital Uncertainty

Feb 14, 2013 at 14:41 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: While the oil-rich Benghazi region has been in a critical security state for some time, the capital Tripoli should be considered a top threat. Lufthansa and Austrian Airlines…

Syria, L'Enfant Terrible of Foreign Politics

Feb 13, 2013 at 16:55 | Claude Salhani

Syria today finds itself on the edge of a precipice, on the verge of falling into a deep political, social and economic abyss that could send the country spiralling into…

The Real Reason Behind Argentina's Renewed Interest in the Falkland Islands

Feb 12, 2013 at 16:44 | Charles Kennedy

Argentina is persisting with its claims to the Falkland Islands, perhaps with a dangerous insistence that many in London had underestimated. Hector Timerman, the Argentine Foreign Minister, recently made outlandish…

With Jewell, Obama Says Go Green or Go Home

Feb 08, 2013 at 17:14 | Daniel J. Graeber

Sally Jewell, President Barack Obama's choice to replace Interior Secretary Ken Salazar, comes with a resume filled not only with big oil credentials but also with environmental street credibility. The…

Assassination in Tunisia, Trigger for Revolutionary Revival

Feb 08, 2013 at 14:20 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: The assassination on 6 February of opposition politician Chokri Belaid, a notable opponent of the Islamist-led government, is the trigger that will push the ongoing political crisis and…

Turkish Leftist Group Claims Ankara Bombing

Feb 08, 2013 at 14:17 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: A leftist group has claimed responsibility for the bombing of the US Embassy in Ankara, but if this is a message about Turkey’s role in the Syrian conflict…

The Syrian End Game: A Private Actor Arena

Feb 08, 2013 at 14:15 | Editorial Dept

Bottom Line: Our attempts at offering probability scenarios for an end game in Syria are crippled by the intensified meddling of a growing number of private actors who have formed…

Africa No.1 Risk Area for Oil Tankers

Feb 06, 2013 at 17:23 | John Daly

First, the good news.Piracy off Somalia is down. In 2012, there were 297 piracy attacks and 28 hijackings worldwide, according to the International Maritime Bureau’s Piracy Reporting…

Foreign Energy Investors Should Not Give Up on Egypt

Feb 06, 2013 at 17:21 | Charles Kennedy

Egypt is not only hungry for energy—it’s starving, and this starvation will play a role in the underlying revolutionary instability that has foreign investors asking whether the other boot is…

Mali, Nigeria, and the Bigger Picture

Feb 05, 2013 at 16:52 | Gregory R. Copley

The Mali War will be neither simple nor quick, ‘though the players all wish it so.  Timboctou, almost a year in the hands of militants, had fallen to…

U.S. Violating its Own Sanctions on Iran

Feb 01, 2013 at 16:55 | Daniel J. Graeber

An audit of U.S. defense spending in Afghanistan finds the Pentagon may have spent a significant amount of money on fuel for the military there that came from Iran. Congress…

Investors Beware: Egypt's Revolution is Not Over

Feb 01, 2013 at 14:20 | Editorial Dept

In April, Egypt will hold crucial parliamentary elections. Preparations for this are being undertaken against an extremely volatile backdrop of violent protests, a state of emergency in three key provinces,…

Qatar's Agenda in Syria

Feb 01, 2013 at 14:15 | Editorial Dept

Situation: Qatar continues to funnel weapons and facilitate other assistance to Syrian rebels and Salafi jihadists fighting the Assad regime in Syria.Bottom Line: Determining the outcome of the…

Does Russia Have Anything to Fear from Chavez's Failing Health?

Feb 01, 2013 at 14:11 | Editorial Dept

Incident: Russia makes moves to deepen its energy cooperation with Venezuela, with Rosneft announcing a planned $10 billion investment in offshore oil and natural projects and the creation of a…

Could we See a Revolt in Azerbaijan?

Feb 01, 2013 at 14:10 | Editorial Dept

Incident: Azerbaijan is experiencing an unusual amount of unrest as protesters take a stance against corruption and challenge the authority of Azerbaijani strongman Ilham Aliyev, who has responded with a…

Iran on the Offensive

Jan 29, 2013 at 17:13 | Claude Salhani

Until now, the Arab oil producing countries of the Persian Gulf, also called the Arabian Gulf, or to those seeking political neutrality, simply the Gulf, looked at their Persian neighbour…

Exxon, BP Straddle Front Line in Iraq-Kurd Oil War

Jan 29, 2013 at 17:12 | Charles Kennedy

BP Plc (NYSE: BP) and Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) are caught on opposite sides of the front line of the oil war between the Iraqi central government and the…

5 Geopolitical Risks Commodity Investors Must Be Wary of in 2013

Jan 28, 2013 at 17:08 | Economywatch

On January 14, Deutsche Bank published their 2013 market outlook in which they identified several geopolitical hotspots to worry investors and businesses. They include a wide range of developed and…

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