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Geopolitics

The US Finds its Superpower Structure and Capital are Insufficient to Cope with a Transformed World

Jan 11, 2010 at 20:56 | Gregory R. Copley

The United States of America, in global strategic terms, is tumbling down a series of misadventures, declining in a “step of sighs” through frustrating economic and military endeavours as it…

Land-locked Central Asian Oil Country Plays Important Role from Vancouver to Vladivostok

Jan 07, 2010 at 16:48 | Philip H. de Leon

2010 is starting with a decision that faced heated debates: Kazakhstan will hold the chairmanship of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) for one year, despite what…

Sharoudi Emerging as Candidate to Replace Khamene'i as Iranian "Supreme Leader"

Jan 05, 2010 at 17:53 | Yossef Bodansky

Very senior officials in several Persian Gulf states have confirmed to GIS/Defense & Foreign Affairs a growing volume of whispers coming from Tehran since mid-December 2009 which identify Iranian Ayatollah…

Iran to Surge to a Hegemonic Position in the Middle East Without a Major War

Jan 01, 2010 at 23:56 | Yossef Bodansky

Despite the lingering demonstrations and disorder in Tehran, Iran’s ruling mullahs are confident anew in their country’s ability to surge to a hegemonic position in the Middle East without a…

Interests in Afghanistan and Pakistan Set to Collide, With Global Implications

Dec 29, 2009 at 21:16 | Yossef Bodansky

The coming year: 2010, will see a growing clash of conflicting mega-trends in the Afghanistan-Pakistan theater; trends which will ultimately have long-term impact not only on the region, but on…

Iraq to Challenge Saudi Arabia for the Position of World's Largest Oil Producer, if...

Dec 27, 2009 at 20:08 | Tejinder Singh

Baghdad is coming of age in its own backyard with the awarding of contracts for developing its oil reserves while taking care of its assets as evident from its tough…

India Facing Fierce Competition in its Search for Oil and Natural Gas Resources

Dec 24, 2009 at 17:17 | Fawzia Sheikh

While energy-strapped India is scouring the globe for oil and gas - a bid that recently took it to Sudan and Russia where India signed two memoranda of understanding, and…

Arab Leaders Finally Awake to Growing Iranian Threat

Dec 23, 2009 at 14:04 | Claude Salhani

In order to survive revolutions must continue to propagate themselves or else they die; that was true of revolutions on the left that saw their golden years in the late…

Nigerian Leadership Crisis Impacting Global Energy Markets

Dec 20, 2009 at 04:33 | Defense and Foreign Affairs

The illness of Nigerian Pres. Umaru Musa Yar’Adua has now reached the point where it can no longer be hidden from the Nigerian electorate, and the prospect for a change…

Growing Power of Iraqi Kurdistan Could Backfire on Tehran

Dec 19, 2009 at 03:54 | Gregory R. Copley

Iran's strategy to break Iraq into three component territories, and to dominate those territories in order to reduce regional opposition and to gain unfettered access to Syria and the Mediterranean…

Is Turkey Shifting Alliances?

Dec 15, 2009 at 13:59 | Claude Salhani

For the last several decades it was generally assumed that Israel was the United States’ staunchest ally in the Greater Middle East. But when former Nebraskan Republican Senator Chuck Hagel…

The Great Oil Grab! How the Major Powers are Dividing the World's Resources

Dec 14, 2009 at 16:55 | Tejinder Singh

China and Russia will stay on tenterhooks for decades to come, on the question of sufficiency of energy supplies, notwithstanding the oil grab they have indulged in over the past…

The Great Competition Over Energy Shoves and Shapes the Emergence of the "New Caucasus"

Dec 12, 2009 at 17:22 | Yossef Bodansky

The South Caucasus: Azerbaijan, Armenia, and Georgia - is at an historic "T" junction in the road. The next turn could result in a regional eruption of violence which would…

Iran Gains Strategic Momentum Balancing Russia, the PRC and the West

Dec 10, 2009 at 21:16 | Defense and Foreign Affairs

Iran is gathering momentum to become a great regional power with global implications. It is already a nuclear weapons power, with externally-acquired nuclear weapons. But the question facing Iranians and…

The Continuing Saga of Iran's Nuclear Build-Up

Dec 08, 2009 at 14:44 | Claude Salhani

History was made about ten days ago in Vienna at a meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency when China and Russia voted along with the United States to sanction…

Central Asia's Most Precious Resource - Water, Not Oil

Nov 20, 2009 at 15:55 | John Daly

“In every drop of water there is a grain of gold.” - Aral proverb Since the 1991 collapse of the USSR, foreign investors have looked at the former Soviet space…

Turkey and Russia - Tender Relations Over Nuclear Power

Nov 13, 2009 at 23:47 | Gareth Jenkins

The recent announcement of a stay of execution on three of the clauses of the legislative framework for the building of Turkey’s first ever nuclear power plant has reinforced doubts…

The Caspian Fortune Cookie - $12 trillion at Stake; Beijing Happy With "Multiple Pipelines"

Oct 30, 2009 at 16:40 | John Daly

One of the major irritants for international oil companies is when parochial national policies get in the way of their quest for profits. Nowhere is this more evident than in…

Turkmen Gas - Caveat emptor

Oct 24, 2009 at 20:47 | John Daly

Of the five nations surrounding the Caspian – Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Iran, Russia and Turkmenistan, the hydrocarbon riches of Turkmenistan remain the last great prize, sought and fought over by Russia,…

America's Best Ally in Afghanistan - Russia

Oct 16, 2009 at 18:15 | John Daly

As the Obama Administration ponders how to produce something resembling victory from the Afghan quagmire, it faces a number of foreign policy choices, few of them palatable. Despite the earnest…

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