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Finance / the Markets

World Bank Predicts the Demise of the US Dollar by 2025

May 26, 2011 at 07:51 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

This week, the World Bank published a report predicting the demise of the US dollar as the major reserve currency by 2025. The transition will be driven by emerging market…

QE3 Has Already Started

May 23, 2011 at 21:40 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Most analysts have missed the fact that QE3 has already started in earnest. Of course, it would have been easy to miss. Ben Bernanke has not made any grand pronouncements.…

Getting Out at the Top: The Glencore Effect

May 20, 2011 at 08:02 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

One of the greatest indicators that the music has stopped playing, the fat lady is singing, and it is time to get out of Dodge City, is the level of…

Breakfast With PIMCO’s Mohamed El-Erian

May 19, 2011 at 06:50 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

On the way back from a funeral in Los Angeles last weekend, I thought I would take a walk down Nostalgia Lane and have breakfast at the historic Langham Huntington…

Why it’s Time to Bail Out Now

May 18, 2011 at 07:37 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Those looking for guidance on the medium term trend in the market better take a look at the best of breed, benchmark stocks for the leading sectors; the companies traders…

The Markets are on a Knife Edge

May 15, 2011 at 22:45 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

All global asset classes are within a hair’s breadth of completely breaking down.  The S&P 500 sits perilously on its neckline. Just below here there are a ton of sell…

How to Build a Top

May 11, 2011 at 08:20 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Yes, we are all in the instant gratification business. We all want to ride an uptrend for nine months, sell at the top tick, and stay short for the entire…

Why I Am Selling the Market Here

May 05, 2011 at 11:54 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

I have started batting out short positions as fast as the market can field them. To be more specific, I am buying puts and selling calls on the S&P 500…

Take a Ride in the New Short Junk ETF

May 05, 2011 at 09:15 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

When you look at the profusion of new ETF’s being launched today, you find that they almost always correspond with market tops. The higher the market, the greater the demand…

Turkey is on the Menu

Apr 26, 2011 at 09:08 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

I am building lists of merging market ETF to snap up during any summer sell off, and turkey popped up on the menu. The country is only one of two…

Meet the Risk Off Portfolio

Apr 24, 2011 at 10:36 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

I believe that several asset classes are in the process of making important medium term tops, and that it is time to start building short lists of trades to execute…

Colombia is Popping Up on My Radar

Apr 20, 2011 at 08:27 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

My current scenario for global equities has them selling off over the summer, then a rebounding led by emerging markets starting sometime in the fall. In that case, you…

The End of QE2 is In the Market

Apr 18, 2011 at 19:57 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

No one has been more negative about the long term outlook for the Treasury bond markets than I. At the rate that we are piling on spending while chopping back…

UK Pension Funds Unhealthy Overweighting of Fossil Fuel Stocks

Apr 18, 2011 at 09:24 | Mark Nicholls

The overweighting of the UK stock market towards fossil fuel companies means that UK pension funds are at particular risk of any sudden reassessment of the viability of high-carbon energy…

Goldman Sachs Calls the Top in Oil and Metals: Clients Advised to Close Positions

Apr 14, 2011 at 09:09 | Stuart Burns

Following our two-part article on the price of oil and the consequences for global growth posted April 12, it was interesting to see a Reuters article that reported…

Where’s the Beef?

Apr 14, 2011 at 07:59 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

With the Q1 earnings season now underway, investors seeking a repeat of Q4’s blistering results are about to be sorely disappointed. While calendar 2010 delivered a white hot 41% improvement…

Market Bubbles: Fed's Cheap Money In The Hands of Wall Street

Apr 08, 2011 at 09:27 | Dian L. Chu

If you take a look at the unusual market trends--nothing seems to faze the markets and commodities trading in tandem with stocks, then one thing becomes glaringly clear - --…

Hedge Funds are About to Undress

Mar 29, 2011 at 04:23 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

The July 21 deadline for the hedge funds to register required by the one year anniversary of the Dodd-Frank bill is fast approaching, and the industry is roiling with turmoil.…

The Creation of Money from the Perspective of the Austrian School of Economics

Mar 21, 2011 at 16:45 | Ronald Stoeferle

In the preface to his classic work “The Theory of Money and Credit”, Ludwig von Mises says: “Nevertheless, the problem of money has remained one of the darkest chapters in…

What the Japanese Earthquake Means for the US Market

Mar 15, 2011 at 17:00 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

I went into the Japanese earthquake positioning for a big “RISK OFF” trade, and it now looks like we are getting it in spades. The black swans are alighting.

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