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Oil Just Had Its Worst Run Since 2008

Oil Just Had Its Worst Run Since 2008

Oil prices have entered bear…

OPEC’s Struggle To Avoid $40 Oil

OPEC’s Struggle To Avoid $40 Oil

Saudi Arabia cannot afford to…

Energy / Oil Prices

A Look at the Connection Between Oil Price Shocks and Recessions

A Look at the Connection Between Oil Price Shocks and Recessions

Mar 21, 2011 at 10:15 | Gail Tverberg

I want to bring to the attention of readers a recent paper by James Hamilton, called Historical Oil Shocks (also here as a National Bureau of Economic Research…

High Commodity Prices and, in Particular, High Oil Prices are Deflationary

High Commodity Prices and, in Particular, High Oil Prices are Deflationary

Mar 16, 2011 at 09:48 | Kurt Cobb

As the European Central Bank (ECB) prepares to raise interest rates to prevent inflation, the bank cites rising commodity prices, particularly oil prices, as a sign of that inflation. What…

Oil Price Development from the Perspective of the Austrian School of Economics

Oil Price Development from the Perspective of the Austrian School of Economics

Mar 16, 2011 at 09:15 | Ronald Stoeferle

Austrian School opens up new angle on oil price development. In our Oil Report 2010 we analysed the development of the oil price for the investors for the first time…

Current Oil Prices are Simply a Money Grab and Fear Trade

Current Oil Prices are Simply a Money Grab and Fear Trade

Mar 14, 2011 at 08:52 | Al Fin

Oil is selling higher than it should do. Speculation is just one of the reasons, but a significant one. After being bailed out, pardoned for their crimes, and otherwise given…

High Oil Prices are Not here to Stay

High Oil Prices are Not here to Stay

Mar 13, 2011 at 10:47 | Brian Westenhaus

One hundred dollar oil sends a shiver through the economy. One hundred ten dollar oil gets consumer reactions.  If oil prices stay climbing the consuming economic players will respond with…

Spread Between WTI and Brent Should Decrease in the Medium Term

Spread Between WTI and Brent Should Decrease in the Medium Term

Mar 11, 2011 at 07:33 | Ronald Stoeferle

The spread between WTI (NYMEX) and Brent (ICE) has seen a drastic widening recently. Historically speaking, WTI tends to trade USD 1.30 higher, but currently Brent exceeds WTI by USD…

Will Oil Price Increases Trigger the Next Recession?

Will Oil Price Increases Trigger the Next Recession?

Mar 10, 2011 at 11:23 | Ronald Stoeferle

The following chart illustrates the global economic slump in 2008. The Baltic Dry index is the benchmark index for global freight rates of bulk goods (among others iron ore, copper,…

Why Oil Will Peak on Friday

Why Oil Will Peak on Friday

Mar 08, 2011 at 14:52 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

Texas tea has undergone the perfect storm over the past month, with the Middle Eastern dominoes falling one by one. It was the worst case scenario times five, and all…

Oil Prices are Heading Higher as Middle East Troubles are Far From Over

Oil Prices are Heading Higher as Middle East Troubles are Far From Over

Mar 08, 2011 at 07:32 | Cumberland Advisors

“there’s so much unrest that one can actually sense or imagine unknown nano-particles of rage colliding in mid-air...”  (Source: a private person who screens Middle East media for me and…

The Largest Risk to the US Economy Today is an Oil Shock – Awareness of this Risk is Minimal

The Largest Risk to the US Economy Today is an Oil Shock – Awareness of this Risk is Minimal

Mar 07, 2011 at 09:47 | Gail Tverberg

Steve Kopits, Managing Director of Douglas-Westood consulting firm, made a presentation called “Oil, the Economy, and Policy” to the US House of Representatives Energy Subcommittee recently that I thought was…


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