According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the job expected to see the most growth in terms of hiring over the next nine years is an energy-related job: solar photovoltaic installer—but Millennials beware—the term “top growing” is a bit misleading.
The number of solar photovoltaic installers is expected to double by 2026, which sounds super promising on its own. Millennials, after all, are always looking for those meaningful jobs instead of those dirty oil-industry jobs, but millennials beware—there were just 11,300 photovoltaic installers in 2016—so that 105 percent increase in solar jobs would equate to an increase of just 11,900—to reach 23,200 by 2026.
Wind turbine technicians took the No.2 spot, projecting a 96.1 percent growth (from 5,800 in 2016 to 11,300 in 2026).
Let’s just take a run at putting the solar jobs into perspective:
- Pizza Hut hired 11,000 workers just to tackle Super Bowl Sunday (and ensuring a smooth Super Bowl is, if I may be so bold, equally as fulfilling)
- Sears Canada just announced it was deep-sixing 12,000 employees
- Chesapeake Energy—just one U.S. energy company, and not one of the biggest ones at that—as of 2013, has 12,000 total employees, after laying off its chaplains and beekeeper (I promise I’m not making this up).
- Most ironically—and perhaps my favorite real-world example—UK’s solar industry alone shed 12,000 jobs in mid-2016 due to government subsidy cuts. Related: The Rise Of The Petroyuan
That’s not to knock the solar and wind industries, but the low price of oil is doing alternative energy progress any favors. Add to that the precarious position the solar industry has now found itself in thanks to the repeal of the Clean Power Plan, talk of repealing solar tax credits, and—a potentially fatal blow if it materializes—trade tariffs that could lead to “project cancellations worth billions of dollars and massive layoffs, to the tune of a third of the total number currently employed in the industry,” wrote Irina Slav for Oilprice just last month. In light of this, the BLS forecast may prove to be a bit overly optimistic.
As for the rest of energy, coal jobs didn’t make BLS’s top 10 movers and shakers, and neither did the oil and industry, although the latter did make the top 30. Derrick operator jobs are forecast to increase 25.7 percent through 2026, while rotary drill operators are set to increase by 24.2 percent, and roustabouts 24.5 percent. The BLS estimates service unit operators in the oil and gas industry will grow by 23.4 percent. Just those four oil industry jobs combined will reach almost 148,000 jobs by 2026—a figure that doesn’t include gas plant operators, petroleum pump operators, refinery operators, wastewater treatment operators, and more.
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By Julianne Geiger for Oilprice.com
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Secondly if we go by the EIA estimates, the b world would see a solar energy share of 5%by 2020. Very recently EIA just upgraded to 15%. My point is estimations are very vague and far from actual ground reality. If PV panels were to be installed in every residential Villa and building, we would see exponential rise in jobs not just for installation but also maintaining these assets during the entire lifetime.
All in all, renewable energy will generate equal if not more employees by the next decade. I also believe that oil and gas industry would still be a major contributing factor towards energy needs especially through natural gas but with time, oil industry would shed out experienced people. Young talented people would choose sustainable fields as oil industry doesn't provide any jobs for graduate / fresh engineers at this point due to recession. With less talented people, the industry could only go so far.