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Finance

Why the Euro Is Doomed

May 10, 2010 at 09:42 | Charles Hugh Smith

Papering over the structural imbalances in the Eurozone with endless bailouts will not resolve the fundamental asymmetries. Beneath the endless announcements of Greece's "rescue" lie fundamental asymmetries that doom the…

An Environmental Activist's Take on the Markets

May 06, 2010 at 18:39 | Mad Hedge Fund Trader

I spent an evening with Lester Brown, president of the Earth Policy Institute and a winner of the coveted MacArthur Prize, for some long term thinking about the environment and…

Bank Lending and Other Key Stats Take a Turn for the worse

May 04, 2010 at 13:37 | Dave Forest

I wrote last month that several economic indicators seemed to be turning positive. I may have spoken too soon. The last two weeks a number of key stats have…

Oil, Greece & China – On a Collision Course with Reality

May 03, 2010 at 11:49 | Charles Hugh Smith

A chart of exponential growth/depletion may be the "chart of the century." The chart displays two lines: the blue line traces out exponential growth (for example, in demand for oil,…

Why the Stock Market and Oil are Rallying

Apr 30, 2010 at 13:25 | Charles Hugh Smith

Below are two self-explanatory charts which shed light on the current rallies in the stock market and oil. The first is a long-term snapshot of the Dow Jones Industrial Average,…

The Recession is Over

Apr 30, 2010 at 13:08 | James Hamilton

That's the big take-away from today's report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis that the seasonally adjusted real value of the nation's production of goods and services grew at…

Japanese commercial banks are hurting. Will the government step in with more bailouts?

Apr 30, 2010 at 11:27 | Dave Forest

Sometimes the briefest bits of information are the most critical. The Bank of Japan today put out its usual one-page summary for the April meeting of its Policy Board. The…

The Gravitational Pull of Financial Disaster

Apr 29, 2010 at 11:38 | Dave Forest

There are two views on the economy and stock markets. The first (and most widely-held) is that these are "responsive systems". Prices for homes, stocks and labour react to events…

Where Did U.S. Households Get the Money They Needed to Bid Up House Prices So High?

Apr 25, 2010 at 19:00 | James Hamilton

What happened to housing and financial markets over the last decade? To find out, follow the money. According to Yale Professor Robert Shiller's data, the run-up and collapse of U.S.…

Greece Debt Crisis: No Way Out?

Apr 23, 2010 at 19:00 | Dian L. Chu

As if Greece did not already have enough problems. The market was already jolted by the Goldman SEC case. Then, it was the cloud of volcanic ash from Iceland postponed…

The Predatory Partnership of Wall Street and the State

Apr 22, 2010 at 19:00 | Charles Hugh Smith

The Central State and Financial Plutocracy are bound in a mutually beneficial, highly predatory partnership. The Mainstream Media is missing the Big Story in the SEC/Goldman Sachs filing: the Central…

Is There an Asset Bubble in China? The IMF Doesn't Think So

Apr 21, 2010 at 19:00 | Dian L. Chu

Olivier Blanchard, chief economist at the International Monetary Fund (IMF), talks with Bloomberg this morning about the prospects for an asset bubble in China.  Blanchard, speaking from Washington, also discusses…

Chinese Profits: Bad for Metal prices?

Apr 20, 2010 at 19:00 | Dave Forest

Metals investors globally were cheered this week by good news from Aluminum Corp. of China (A.K.A. Chalco). The aluminum giant swung back into profitability for the first time in a…

Gaming the System - The Foundation of the U.S. Economy

Apr 19, 2010 at 19:00 | Charles Hugh Smith

The status quo not just incentivizes gaming the system, it has made it the primary way to get ahead in today's economy. Gaming the system is not just encouraged--it has…

The Search for a Reserve Currency

Apr 18, 2010 at 19:00 | Gregory R. Copley

Currency, like all forms of abstract value, is based on trust. And trust itself is based - except among the most naïve - on experience, and the repetitive demonstration of…

The Creeping Terror

Apr 15, 2010 at 19:00 | Dave Forest

Over the last few days I’ve noticed one significant thing. Creeping yields on U.S. commercial paper. Prior to the financial crisis in 2008, rising yields on commercial paper were one…

China's Towers and US McMansions: When Things Fall Apart (Literally)

Apr 13, 2010 at 19:00 | Charles Hugh Smith

Shoddy construction throughout the world, but especially in China and the U.S., is a type of mal-investment, and it will have consequences. Everybody seems to know about China's real estate…

Outstanding Loans in US Commercial Banks Jump by $420 Billion in One Week

Apr 12, 2010 at 19:00 | Dave Forest

I thought I was seeing things yesterday. The Federal Reserve released its weekly numbers on U.S. bank lending. And it looked like there had been some kind of mistake. Outstanding…

Are Short Term Treasuries the Best Trade of the Next Five Years

Apr 11, 2010 at 19:00 | Charles Hugh Smith

Despite the year-long equities rally and the euphoric mood of speculators and government officials, maybe the best trade of the next 5 years will be short-term U.S. Treasuries. Stocks provide…

The End of European Expansion and the Coming Debt Wars

Apr 07, 2010 at 19:00 | Business Insider

Government debt in Greece is just the first in a series of European debt bombs that are set to explode. The mortgage debts in post-Soviet economies and Iceland are more…

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