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A Powerful Family Army Is Forming in Eastern Libya


Politics, Geopolitics & Conflict

The Sudanese government has accused the UAE of supplying weapons to the rival paramilitary force with whom the government has been engaged in a bloody civil war for over a year–an accusation the UAE denies. A shouting match erupted at a UNSC meeting, during which a Sudanese official said they had evidence that the UAE was getting weapons to the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF).

In Libya, eastern strongman Khalifa Haftar has named his son, Saddam Haftar, as the new chief of the Haftar-controlled Libyan Arab Armed Forces, which suggests a consolidation of his power is being undertaken right now (two other Haftar sons also have military posts). At the same time, the rival western government in Tripoli will be getting nervous about the rise of this private family army in the east. In 2019, Haftar tried to take Tripoli. He failed, but he’s stronger now, and while he has lost some of his backers (including the U.S.), he is a top priority on Russia’s list, and a key stomping ground for Wagner mercenaries and operations that extend beyond Libya. He may not be preparing for another try at Tripoli, yet, but in the least, he is preparing an eastern empire that can survive his death. 

Discovery & Development

Aker BP has made a new gas discovery in the Barents Sea on the Norwegian Continental Shelf. The well encountered gas columns in the Stø and Snadd formations, with preliminary estimates suggesting a recoverable…

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