Insider Secrets

Insider Secrets

Learn how the PROs are making money from the oil and energy market.

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Premium Article Archive

  • Fundamentals Are Lost, But Upside Visible For Oil

    The oil market has become nothing but a rumor mill – rumors of Fed hikes to come, or even Fed cuts – and, over the last few days, a stubborn rumor about a Russian/OPEC summit to cut oil production. Rumors suck, but this time the fix may be in – I think it’s time to put some money into some oil stocks for the quick blast up. I’ve got oil stocks, and it’s been painful. I’ve been waiting for the inevitable short-covering rally of overloaded speculators to come since December and wash away a lot of my losses, give me…

  • 3 Rules for Trading Volatile Markets

    For those who like to trade in the energy markets the last few weeks have been marked by one word: volatility. With 4 or 5 percent daily moves, and even larger intraday ranges, commonplace in oil futures it has been a period that, depending on your outlook and results, could be viewed as either terrifying or exhilarating. Despite that, most traders understand that volatility is ultimately your friend. Without movement there is no opportunity, and without opportunity there is no profit. As welcome as volatility is, though, it can be an account killer to those unaware of how to handle…

  • Oil Volatility at Seven Year High

    Friday, January 29, 2016 In the latest edition of the Numbers Report, we’ll take a look at some of the most interesting figures put out this week in the energy sector. Each week we’ll dig into some data and provide a bit of explanation on what drives the numbers. Let’s take a look. 1. Currencies, foreign exchange under pressure   - This WSJ graphic highlights the growing currency problem stemming from the collapse in oil prices.- Azerbaijan, which depends on oil prices for over 90 percent of export revenue, had to abandon its currency peg twice last year because of…

  • Global Energy Advisory 29th January 2016

    Politics, Geopolitics & Conflict • Despite the oil price slide, Iraqi Kurdistan remains one of the cheapest places in the world to produce crude oil. This venue is wracked with problems that range from the ISIS threat and budgetary problems to an ongoing rift with Baghdad over Iraqi federal budget money and the Kurds’ unilateral export of oil. But there is still a silver lining if the Kurds can keep things together under intense domestic and regional pressures. Genel Energy says it’s producing at $1 a barrel, so the company—one of the most important on the scene here—can withstand late…

  • Signs Of A Shift In Sentiment Are There, But Where Is The Catalyst?

    March Crude Oil Analysis If you’re watching crude oil prices every day, you will probably say the market is volatile, choppy and directionless. If you’re watching it on a weekly basis, you may say that the market is trading in an orderly fashion. The short-term charts are full of trading “noise”. This is what is causing the two-sided trade. The fundamentals are also two-sided. There are supply side fundamentals. Demand side fundamentals. Short-term fundamentals and long-term fundamentals. The constant flood of fresh news into the crude oil market is also having a major influence on the price volatility. This week,…

  • When Oil Will Bottom: The Most Important Column I've Ever Written

    Everyone’s now pretty well convinced that the collapse in oil prices is a disaster for stocks, something I’ve been trying to convince people of since late in 2014. So, nothing is more important for investors than figuring when oil might bottom out, but even more, when it might turn constructive again. I think I can tell you that now – making this possibly the most important column on oil I’ve ever written. But I’m warning you: It’s a wonky column, so proceed at your own risk. As an oil trader engaged in this market since 1983, what’s struck me about…

  • How To Survive This ‘Traders Market’ For Oil

    It is hard to escape the feeling that, at some point, oil will bounce back. The dramatic yet sustained decline in WTI suggests to those familiar with markets that when that bounce comes it will be quite rapid. The assumption is that there are enough long term short positions that an upward move will be exaggerated. That may be true, but fundamental supply and demand always trumps technical or market positioning factors in the long term, and those figures suggest that we are not at that point yet. The latest IEA numbers indicate that in the fourth quarter of last…

  • Cracks In OPEC Production Visible

    Friday, January 22, 2016 In the latest edition of the Numbers Report, we’ll take a look at some of the most interesting figures put out this week in the energy sector. Each week we’ll dig into some data and provide a bit of explanation on what drives the numbers. Let’s take a look. 1. LNG demand is weak   - LNG demand slowed to a halt in 2015. Asia is the largest market for LNG – Japan alone accounts for one-third of all LNG imports. - Japan restarted two nuclear reactors, which cut out some need for LNG. The economy…

  • Global Energy Advisory January 22nd 2016

    Politics, Geopolitics & Conflict • Iraq’s oil-rich Basra continues to struggle with a conflict among rival Shi’ite tribes that threatens to spiral out of control to the point that Baghdad sent in a strike force to quell the unrest. The bulk of the unrest is close to two major oilfields—West Qurna and Majnoon. If the foreign giants operating these fields were shrugging off the multiple threats to their assets before, they shouldn’t be so dismissive now, though they continue to be in denial. This is not an area close to the fighting with the Islamic State, but the conflicts feed…

  • Today’s Trading Could Set Bullish Tone For Oil Next Week

    March Crude Oil Analysis This week starts with March Crude Oil futures in basically the same position as last week. The main trend is down according to the weekly swing chart and the market is rapidly approaching the psychological support level at $25.00. It is also in a position to test a pair of downtrending Gann angles. Trader reaction to these angles will set the tone of the market. On the upside, the first angle, moving down $0.50 per week from the $41.25 bottom drops in at $30.25. Overcoming this angle will put the market in a strong position and…

Martin tiller