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Energy / Oil Prices

The Global Economy is Now More Vulnerable to Oil Prices than Ever

Mar 14, 2012 at 17:36 | The Oil Drum

This paper examines the impact of oil price changes on global economic growth. Unlike some recent studies, this paper finds that oil price rises have had significant negative impacts on…

Crisis in Libya Shows the Effects of Production Downtimes

Mar 13, 2012 at 17:55 | Ronald Stoeferle

The spill-over of the political revolutions from the neighbouring countries to Libya and the resulting civil war have highlighted the threat caused by production downtimes in politically unstable countries. Although…

An Austrian School Of Economics Perspective

Mar 13, 2012 at 14:04 | Ronald Stoeferle

The Austrian School provides a new angle on the development of the oil price. We already discussed the oil price development from the perspective of the Austrian School of Economics…

Economic Consequences of the High Oil Price

Mar 12, 2012 at 17:38 | Ronald Stoeferle

The average January petrol price in the US set a new all-time-high. The high petrol price acts like an additional tax for US consumers. An increase of 10 cents per…

Does the Skyscraper Index Signal a Weaker Oil Price?

Mar 11, 2012 at 11:33 | Ronald Stoeferle

“The construction of skyscrapers that qualify as the “World’s Tallest Building” tends to coincide with major downturns in the economy” Mark Thornton The “skyscraper index” is a reliable warning signal…

Crude Oil Market Analysis for the Week of March 12, 2012

Mar 11, 2012 at 11:18 | FX Empire

May Crude Oil futures posted a modest gain last week with better-than-expected U.S. economic news the catalyst behind the move. The market started out weak as follow-through selling fueled by…

Don't Factor Syrian Oil into Market Jitters

Mar 08, 2012 at 17:01 | Daniel J. Graeber

Conflicts in the Middle East and North Africa are likely dragging on broader economic recovery as oil prices move to relative highs. In Syria, any recovery in oil production will…

Why Europe is Experiencing Higher Oil Prices than the US

Mar 06, 2012 at 17:29 | Gail Tverberg

The world is presently sharing a limited supply of oil. When oil prices rise, oil production doesn’t rise very much, if at all.

Crude Oil Analysis for the Week of March 5, 2012

Mar 04, 2012 at 09:06 | FX Empire

Weekly April crude oil posted a potentially bearish closing price reversal top last week. This formation typically leads to a 2 to 3 week break equal to at least 50…

The Reasons for High Oil Prices

Feb 27, 2012 at 17:11 | Gail Tverberg

Rising oil and gasoline prices are of concern to many people today. I see three basic issues involved: 1. “Stalled out” growth in world oil supply2. Concerns about Iran3. Artificially low…

Crude Oil Analysis for the Week of February 27, 2012

Feb 26, 2012 at 08:48 | Commodities Mansion

Crude oil surged last week to its highest level since May 2011. The close at $109.77 represents a $13.96 gain since bottoming at $95.81 on February 2. Not only did…

Prices of WTI and Brent Should Realign with a Gulf Coast Pipeline

Feb 23, 2012 at 17:55 | James Hamilton

The Keystone Gulf Coast Expansion Project is now entering its fourth year of regulatory review, and is currently on indefinite political hold. In the meantime, the market is…

What do the Recent Oil Price Highs Mean for Consumers at the Pump

Feb 22, 2012 at 17:39 | James Hamilton

Crude oil prices this week reached their highest level since last April. What will that mean for U.S. consumers at the gas pump? The first question to be clear on…

Overcoming High Oil Prices - Time to Stop Playing the Energy Victim

Feb 22, 2012 at 17:29 | Gary Hunt

Our world is a ‘funk’—again over global oil price spikes caused by concerns about conflict between Iran and Israel drawing the US into a war, the continuing agony of…

How Closely are Oil Prices Tied to Economic Activity?

Feb 21, 2012 at 17:19 | The Oil Drum

Recent developments in oil markets and the global economy have, once again, triggered concerns about the impact of oil price shocks around the world. This column wonders whether the fuss…

Crude Oil Analysis for the Week of February 20, 2012

Feb 19, 2012 at 11:50 | FX Empire

The inability to penetrate a major 50 percent price level at $95.13 helped form a new bottom at $95.81 on the April Crude Oil weekly chart. With two main bottoms…

Crude Oil Analysis for the Week of February 6, 2012

Feb 07, 2012 at 07:55 | FX Empire

March Crude Oil closed lower last week after posting an expanded range. The market continued its downslide that began five weeks ago when it topped out at $103.90. Heavy selling…

What Affect Will High Oil Prices Have on the 2012 Election

Feb 02, 2012 at 20:47 | Post Carbon

If current trends continue, gasoline prices and U.S. energy policy seem destined to play a larger role in the political debate prior to the November elections than ever before. Gasoline…

Crude Oil Market Forecast for the Week of January 30, 2012

Jan 29, 2012 at 11:17 | FX Empire

March crude oil closed higher last week after the Fed announced it would keep interest rates at ultra-low levels until late-2014. The news helped trigger a short-covering rally which turned…

Peak Oil Crisis Being Compounded by Refinery Closures

Jan 26, 2012 at 17:45 | Post Carbon

Here is one more thing for those of us who live in the North Eastern U.S. to start worrying about - the refineries that make our gasoline, diesel, heating oil,…

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