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OPEC Moves Towards Extension Consensus

OPEC

Saudi Arabia’s and Kuwait’s oil ministers said consensus is building among OPEC members on the extension of the cartel’s six-month oil production cut agreement, strengthening optimism about international prices.

Speaking at a conference in the UAE, Khalid al-Falih said “We are talking to all countries. We have not reached an agreement for sure, but the consensus is building.”

His Kuwaiti counterpart, Essam al-Marzouq, confirmed the progress in negotiations, also noting that compliance with the agreement was rising among its non-OPEC parties, which, according to him, showed “the importance of extending the agreement.” Al-Marzouq added that Russia has given its preliminary consent to the extension.

The need to extend the agreement, which was planned to cut off some 1.8 million bpd from global supply, became evident before the end of the first quarter, when it emerged that instead of declining, global supplies actually increased.

This was primarily explained with refinery maintenance season, which in the U.S. led to a string of seven-figure inventories increases, making markets nervous. Now that refinery maintenance is gradually ending across the world, demand for the commodity should pick up, especially in the second half of the year.

As a result, the Kuwaiti Oil Minister said, the extension may require smaller cuts than the ones agreed last November. Also, Al-Marzouq said, the cartel will be happy to welcome more non-OPEC producers in the output cut agreement.

Iran’s Energy Minister said earlier this week that the country was ready to join the cut in the second half of the year if everyone else is on board with the plan. Related: Bullish Oil Price Predictions Should Be Treated With Caution

The remarks suggest that Iran has reached an oil output level that it is comfortable with for the time being, or that serves as a sufficient base for it to continue to ramp up production until May 25, when OPEC will meet in Vienna to decide on the extension.

By Irina Slav for Oilprice.com

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Leave a comment
  • Mark A Taylor on April 20 2017 said:
    Nothing but talk trying to keep prices buoyed.
  • Mark A Taylor on April 20 2017 said:
    OPEC better stop building and do it before the price goes back to $47 again.

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